Uncommon Descent Serving The Intelligent Design Community

Responding to Dr Liddle’s challenge as to whether science can study “the supernatural”

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In Gil’s recent ANNOUNCEMENT thread, Dr Liddle has made a summary of her core challenge to design thinkers, at no 6:

Science necessarily involves an a priori commitment to the proposition that natural causes are the reason for everything.

It does not possess the methodology to discover any other kind of cause.

What methodology would you recommend for investigating an un-natural/supernatural cause?

I have thought this is sufficiently focussed to respond on points (currently awaiting moderation, on I think number of links . . . ). I augment that response here where I can use colours [Dr Liddle’s remarks are in bolded green], fill in diagrams and links:

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>>Science necessarily involves

a: This is a claim of MUST, i.e this is already a commitment that suggests that apart from this no science, so how do you account for the facts of the founding of modern science and the views of the actual founders thereof, as I have documented say here?

an a priori commitment to the proposition that natural causes are the reason for everything.

b: NIX. Science only implicates the study of empirically observable and testable phenomena, which in turn implicates the question of inference from well-tested sign to signified cause.

c: We may and do categorise these as tracing to chance, necessity and choice, whereby we may further cluster the first two as material or natural, and the latter as artificial. This categorisation is for instance used by Plato, by Newton and by Monod [cf his, Chance and Necessity]

d: We may characterise and study each of these causal factors on their general signs, and further investigate on the specific observed object or phenomenon. To wit, we may see that:

i: by mechanical necessity, we get lawlike regularities — i.e. low contingency of outcomes — under sufficiently similar starting conditions (a dropped heavy object falls at g), a common enough goal of scientific investigation being to identify such laws, e.g. F = m*a

ii: by chance, under similar initial conditions, we have highly contingent outcomes (a dropped die will tumble and settle to various readings) in accordance with a statistical distribution. Sometimes scientific investigations try to characterise such distributions and their roots, e.g. the Weibull distribution of wind speeds etc.

iii: by choice, we will also get highly contingent outcomes under similar starting conditions, but credibly linked to purpose not chance, e.g. the pattern of symbols in messages as opposed to noise — studied in and foundational to information theory.

It does not possess the methodology to discover any other kind of cause.

e: This is premised on an assumption that the only way we may categorise the world is on natural vs supernatural, where the later may be derided.

f: In short, this is an implicit — perhaps unrecognised — assumption of a priori MATERIALISM, not an open-minded, empirically based investigation of the world as is, in light of empirical facts and observations, explained without ideologically censoring possibilities

g: Do we know that all that there is, is “natural,” or that science may only study and explain by the “natural”? That depends, crucially on what you mean by “natural.”

h: If you mean a smuggling in of materialism by assumptions and definitions, that is a major begging of the question, for what science studies is the EMPIRICALLY OBSERVABLE in a world that credibly had a beginning.

i: Such a cosmos, is credibly contingent, i.e. it entails a cause external to itself, as if something may not exist or had a beginning, it has conditions under which it may/may not exist.

j: In turn that points to a causal root in a necessary being, that has no external causal dependency. Such a being has no beginning, and has no end. By logic. (Formerly, until it was recognised that the evidence points to a beginning for the cosmos we live in, the Steady State type view assumed the wider observed cosmos was that necessary being, but now Humpty Dumpty has fallen. [We need not go into the wider discussion of contingency, contingency on a credible beginning is enough to force consideration of possibilities, then.])

k: Multiply by the evident fine tuning of our observed cosmos, that supports C-chemistry cell based life; which is also relevant even in the case of an assumed or speculated wider multiverse, as LOCAL fine tuning is enough. As John Leslie put it:

. . . the need for such explanations [[for fine-tuning] does not depend on any estimate of how many universes would be observer-permitting, out of the entire field of possible universes. Claiming that our universe is ‘fine tuned for observers’, we base our claim on how life’s evolution would apparently have been rendered utterly impossible by comparatively minor [[emphasis original] alterations in physical force strengths, elementary particle masses and so forth. There is no need for us to ask whether very great alterations in these affairs would have rendered it fully possible once more, let alone whether physical worlds conforming to very different laws could have been observer-permitting without being in any way fine tuned. Here it can be useful to think of a fly on a wall, surrounded by an empty region. A bullet hits the fly Two explanations suggest themselves. Perhaps many bullets are hitting the wall or perhaps a marksman fired the bullet. There is no need to ask whether distant areas of the wall, or other quite different walls, are covered with flies so that more or less any bullet striking there would have hit one. The important point is that the local area contains just the one fly.

[[Our Place in the Cosmos, 1998. The force of this point is deepened once we think about what has to be done to get a rifle into “tack-driving” condition.That is, a “tack-driving” rifle is a classic example of a finely tuned, complex system, i.e. we are back at the force of Collins’ point on a multiverse model needing a well adjusted Cosmos bakery. (Slide show, ppt. “Simple” summary, doc.)]

l: That points to functionally specific, complex organisation of a cosmos [and associated complex information], something that is habitually and empirically associated with choice and purpose, i.e. design. Indeed, in every case where we directly know the cause for such FSCO/I, it is designed.

m: So, we have as a reasonable possibility — and, arguably a best explanation — that the observed cosmos is externally caused by a purposive, powerful, necessary being, which has no beginning, no ending, and that based on scientific observation and the logic of contingency. Such a being is warranted on our contingent world, and is causally self-sufficient, i.e. self-explanatory. The real issue is the nature of the necessary being, not its existence, once we have a contingent cosmos to be explained. And, blind necessity or a chaos are vastly inferior to intelligence as explanations of FSCO/I, absent imposition of a priori materialism — i.e. we here see the censoring effect of the materialistic question-begging above.

n: Since, too, we have here a case in hand where science has indeed studied origins, and the beginning of our world, and — absent question-begging censorship — a serious alternative points beyond the contingent “natural” world we inhabit to root cause by an entirely different category of being, we already see that science can not only study natural vs artificial, but design by an entirely different category of being that can credibly be termed, supernatural. That is, beyond nature in the sense of our observed cosmos. (The proposed multiverse we hear about so often today is UN-observed.)

What methodology would you recommend for investigating an un-natural/ supernatural cause?

o: First, stop begging metaphysical questions by imposing a priori materialism, or going along with such imposition, not hard as that evolutionary materialism (aka scientific materialism aka [scientific] naturalism etc etc) is already self-referentially incoherent, self refuting and necessarily false, by undermining mind itself. As Haldane summed up the challenge it faces:

“It seems to me immensely unlikely that mind is a mere by-product of matter. For if my mental processes are determined wholly by the motions of atoms in my brain I have no reason to suppose that my beliefs are true. They may be sound chemically, but that does not make them sound logically. And hence I have no reason for supposing my brain to be composed of atoms.” [“When I am dead,” in Possible Worlds: And Other Essays [1927], Chatto and Windus: London, 1932, reprint, p.209.]

p: Then, recognise that it is more useful to scientifically study natural and artificial causes on an empirical basis, and so to focus their characteristic signs, than to beg metaphysical questions.

q: Nor should we allow ideologues to rattle us with their Alinskyite uncivil bully-boy tactics of distortion, denigration, censorship and intimidation.

r: For instance, this pattern as follows is reasonable and quite often actually used, tracing to say Hippocrates of Cos and early medicine, and also reflecting Peirce’s more recent logic of abductive inference:

I: [si] –> O, on W

(I infer from a pattern of observed signs, to an objective state of affairs, on a particular warrant [often, inference to best explanation], each to be specified case by case, cause by cause.)

s: Then, proceed on the understanding that we commonly observe causal patterns that may be described with profit as natural or material [= chance and/or necessity], and intelligent [= art or design or choice contingency].

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fig. A: the Explanatory Filter algorithm [framework] for empirically warranted per aspect inference to design, chance and necessity  on empirical signs.  (Courtesy IOSE)

t: In that light, identify and test characteristic reliable signs of these causal processes for aspects of phenomena, processes or objects.

u: Just as, in say studying a pendulum [a case of direct manipulation as experimental design], we identify what is caused by the experimenter manipulating the string’s length, what is or is not due to varying the mass of the bob, what is chance-based random scatter around a line that characterises a law of mechanical necessity, and what is due to the dynamics of a pendulum swinging across an arc in a gravity field. (And similarly, how — using ANOVA — we isolate factors in a control vs treatment study across blocks and plots.)

v: In short, we routinely apply the explanatory filter algorithm in doing scientific studies, so it is not unreasonable to identify general signs of the relevant causal factors, and to trust them if they pass reasonable tests, e.g. necessity produces lawlike regularities, chance produces statistical scatter, and choice produces FSCO/I.

(If you see a pendulum experiment set up with apparatus fitted to the purpose of adjusting length of string, arc, and mass, with a timer sitting nearby and a record of results on say a coded digital tape, do you infer to chance or choice or necessity? Why?)

w: Now, the hard step: have the courage to trust the patterns of warranted inference beyond where we have direct access to observe the causal process. This is the step taken by Newton when he said, in his General Scholium to Principia:

. . . This most beautiful system of the sun, planets, and comets, could only proceed from the counsel and dominion of an intelligent and powerful Being. And if the fixed stars are the centres of other like systems, these, being formed by the like wise counsel, must be all subject to the dominion of One; especially since the light of the fixed stars is of the same nature with the light of the sun, and from every system light passes into all the other systems: and lest the systems of the fixed stars should, by their gravity, fall on each other mutually, he hath placed those systems at immense distances one from another . . .

x: In short, if we see a tested, reliable pattern of inference from sign to signified state of affairs, we have good reason to trust that it will expend to cases where we cannot directly check.

y: Now, simply apply to the origin of our cosmos, as above. We see signs of art, i.e FSCO/I, in the context of fine-tuning that facilitates C-chemistry, cell based intelligent life. We see also that we have an evidently contingent cosmos that cries out for a root cause in a necessary being.

(You will note that I do NOT use the case of evidence pointing to design in life, as this is a case where, from the very beginnings of modern design theory [i.e. Thaxton et al in TMLO in 1985] — as utterly contrasted to the caricatures being used by objectors — it has been recognised that design of cell based life on earth would be sufficiently accounted for by a designer within the cosmos. Say, a molecular nanotech lab several generations beyond Venter et al.)

z: That is as far as science and logic proper will take us, but:

1: that is far enough to see that a very viable candidate will be an intelligent, extra-cosmic, powerful, purposeful and deeply knowledgeable necessary being;

2: this being a case of empirically based, observationally anchored inference to design or art, as opposed to

3: a priorism-driven inference to or against “the supernatural.”

4: Philosophy and theology will take the ball and run with it from there.

5: Such a being would be a very good example of the super-natural, pointed to by investigations of nature on empirically well warranted patterns of cause and effect.

6: So, we see that science needs not essay to study “the supernatural” only to study natural vs artificial causes on empirically tested warrant.

7: It therefore is high time that the materialists’ favourite “natural vs supernatural” strawman caricature of our alternatives, was laid to rest, with a stake through its heart.

8: We only need to study, on empirical signs, natural vs artificial causes. As was pointed out by Plato, 2,350 years ago, in The Laws, Bk X. Namely:

[[The avant garde philosophers, teachers and artists c. 400 BC] say that the greatest and fairest things are the work of nature and of chance, the lesser of art [[ i.e. techne], which, receiving from nature the greater and primeval creations, moulds and fashions all those lesser works which are generally termed artificial . . . They say that fire and water, and earth and air [[i.e the classical “material” elements of the cosmos], all exist by nature and chance, and none of them by art, and that as to the bodies which come next in order-earth, and sun, and moon, and stars-they have been created by means of these absolutely inanimate existences. The elements are severally moved by chance and some inherent force according to certain affinities among them-of hot with cold, or of dry with moist, or of soft with hard, and according to all the other accidental admixtures of opposites which have been formed by necessity. After this fashion and in this manner the whole heaven has been created, and all that is in the heaven, as well as animals and all plants, and all the seasons come from these elements, not by the action of mind, as they say, or of any God, or from art, but as I was saying, by nature and chance only . . . .
Then, by Heaven, we have discovered the source of this vain opinion of all those physical investigators; and I would have you examine their arguments with the utmost care, for their impiety is a very serious matter; they not only make a bad and mistaken use of argument, but they lead away the minds of others: that is my opinion of them . . . .
all of them, my friends, seem to be ignorant of the nature and power of the soul [[ = psuche], especially in what relates to her origin: they do not know that she is among the first of things, and before all bodies, and is the chief author of their changes and transpositions. And if this is true, and if the soul is older than the body, must not the things which are of the soul’s kindred be of necessity prior to those which appertain to the body? . . . .
when one thing changes another, and that another, of such will there be any primary changing element? How can a thing which is moved by another ever be the beginning of change? Impossible. But when the self-moved changes other, and that again other, and thus thousands upon tens of thousands of bodies are set in motion, must not the beginning of all this motion be the change of the self-moving principle? . . . . self-motion being the origin of all motions, and the first which arises among things at rest as well as among things in motion, is the eldest and mightiest principle of change, and that which is changed by another and yet moves other is second . . . .
If, my friend, we say that the whole path and movement of heaven, and of all that is therein, is by nature akin to the movement and revolution and calculation of mind, and proceeds by kindred laws, then, as is plain, we must say that the best soul takes care of the world and guides it along the good path. [[Plato here explicitly sets up an inference to design (by a good soul) from the intelligible order of the cosmos.]

___________

In short, the matter pivots on breaking a powerfully institutionalised strawman caricature of the scientific method, and our investigatory and warranting options.

Our real, as opposed to strawman options are to study:

Natural vs supernatural artificial causes.>>

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In short, I argue that the whole issue being raised of inference to natural vs supernatural as opposed to the reasoning on natural vs artificial causes and signs thereof, is a strawman fallacy, and so also a red herring distractor.

What are your own thoughts, on what grounds? END

Comments
Nihilism is a negative form of Idealism, or absolutism. Like Idealists, Nihilists have a Manichean worldview. Everything must be either/or. That’s because Nihilism is a pure valuation—pure nothingness. All pure valuations are totalitarian in nature. Nihilism cannot relent or admit any exceptions whatsoever to its absolute ideal of the negation of Being. Nothingness is either pure or it is not nothingness; therefore Nihilism cannot tolerate even the discussion of any middle ground between itself and being. We have two propositions before us. Hegel’s proposition was that it was possible to identify a middle ground between nothingness and being. The possibility of a middle term is created by the inclusion of the two antipodes. No middle ground is possible in Nihilism, however, because it has negated being and mixed valuations in favor of pure nothingness. Nihilists like Dawkins and Myers have their pure valuation, which is nothingness, and obviously they like its purity, since they cling to it with such gusto, probably for psychological reasons. But that does not mean that mixed valuations are impossible in science. Just because the Nihilists have negated being in favor of nothingness does not mean that others cannot look for a middle ground between these two terms in their scientific valuations. They are not bound by the Nihilists’ absolutism and love of purity. To insist that they are is totalitarianism.allanius
June 24, 2011
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Either we take the position that (a) EVERY event has a natural explanation—which totally cuts off the supernatural, or (b) there are events, rare events, which can have a supernatural origin. Is there some in-between position that I can’t think of?
Yes. We could be agnostic about the question of whether every event has a natural explanation. In order to look for natural origins, it is not necessary to have the belief that every event has a natural explanation. That is the difference between philosophical naturalism and methodological naturalism.
Jesus fed 5,000 people with five loaves and seven fishes. Please give me the “natural” explanation for this?
Krisna stopped the sun in its course. Hanuman lifted a mountain. Muhammed split the moon. Can you give me a natural explanation for these events? It's a good question though - How do we decide that testimony is reliable?
When does the skepticism end? And what has been lost in the meantime?
Why should it end? If we don't know the answer to a question, why should we guess? What is lost is the totally unnecessary position of having a firm belief about things which are unknown.Driver
June 24, 2011
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Elizabeth Liddle: Your answer surprised me. I'm happy there wasn't a trauma of the sort I feared, but that is because your faith is stronger than I feared. Very good. And congratulations on being a mother! But I would say, take a look around the world we're living in and see what's going on. We're running the risk of exalting scientism. Everyday we hear about the evolutionary reason for something as mundane and unimportant as yellow teeth, e.g. (actually they haven't come up with one for that; but give them time). Something is very wrong when the evolutionary paradigm is used to explain every little detail of our life. Now, that's not the reason for opposing the simplistic Darwinian notions that are bandied about, but it does give evidence that we're verging upon a world where, instead of "God-did-it", we have a "Evolution-did-it" understanding of every detail of our lives. IOW, Darwinism is being deified. It is the rise, not of paganism, but of atheism. Witness the militant atheism of a Dawkins or a Hitchens (why are they always Brits, BTW?) Something is seriously wrong when you have a "theory" that is basically unfalsifiable, and exactly because it explain anything and everything---which is what we witness day after day. But, why not return to the basic premise of this thread: Can the supernatural be investigated scientifically? The answer is, 'Yes'. We can run tests on the blood of St. Januarius. In fact, you proposed some such tests. Likewise, we can run tests on biological systems---all kinds of tests. Now, it is true, that if life is the result of supernatural intervention, then we cannot "prove" this. But whether or not the Blood of Januarius is miraculous or not, is not going to affect our lives much. But whether or not biological systems are the result of divine intervention certainly should affect our lives, and, specifically, it should affect the way in which we approach biology as a science. The "design inference" not only is a viable explanation for the kinds of codes that we see, but it can give us a better way forward in what kinds of experimental approaches we take. So this isn't just about invoking God/Designer. It's about sensible science, or nonsensical science. But the point remains: science can, and has, explore the supernatural. To say that science cannot prove the supernatural does not detract in any way from the presence of the supernatural in our world. It simply demonstrates the limited competence that science enjoys. Let's not make "high priests" out of scientists.PaV
June 24, 2011
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As to turning 60, it’s not life-threatening, I assure you.
Well, that's a relief! Actually I'm quite looking forward to it. 50s seem so in-between. And 60 is a really cool number.Elizabeth Liddle
June 24, 2011
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markf:
The scientific method being what it is – it will treat this as a problem to be solved and quite possibly keep on trying and failing. I think you agree with this (don’t you?). And I think it is also Lizzie’s point.
Yes, science is, as I've stated, "delimited". As long as you accept this limitation of science, there's no problem. However, many want to say that science, and science alone, is the arbiter to truth. It would be like getting a mathematical geek to judge a beauty contest, and saying he didn't find any. (If the subtlety evades one, the geek's view is limited.)
I can prove you wrong in a specific instance by finding a scientific explanation. You can never prove me wrong (although you might be right) because a scientific explanation may turn up one day.
So, in two hundred years from now, they still have no explanation for this miracle of St. Januarius' blood. But those living 200 years hence, say: "Well, I don't believe this is a miracle because a 'scientific explanation may turn up one day.'" And two hundred years later, there still is no explanation, and they say, "Well, I don't believe this is a miracle because a 'scientific explanation may turn up one day.'" When does the skepticism end? And what has been lost in the meantime? As to turning 60, it's not life-threatening, I assure you. :)PaV
June 24, 2011
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Either we take the position that (a) EVERY event has a natural explanation—which totally cuts off the supernatural, or (b) there are events, rare events, which can have a supernatural origin. Is there some in-between position that I can’t think of?
Yes, I would say: c) That every event has an explanation within the rules of the world ("natural" rules), but the world itself, including its rules, can only be accounted for by positing primal "super-natural" entity we denote as "God". That seems to me both better science and better theology :)Elizabeth Liddle
June 24, 2011
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Driver:
Pav suggests that given an event which a priori could be of natural or supernatural origin (we don’t know yet) we simply choose (arbitrarily) to believe in the supernatural if we don’t have a scientific explanation.
This isn't just some kind of 'event'. Can you think of any other kind of event like this? Either we take the position that (a) EVERY event has a natural explanation---which totally cuts off the supernatural, or (b) there are events, rare events, which can have a supernatural origin. Is there some in-between position that I can't think of? Jesus fed 5,000 people with five loaves and seven fishes. Please give me the "natural" explanation for this? Oh, but you're going to say: "Well, how do we know that this really happened?" Well, in the same way that you know that Napoleon really lived: you rely on the testimony of witnesses. I say to you: "Prove to me that Napoleon lived." You answer, "There's this evidence and that evidence, etc..." To which I say, "Well, for all you know, this was just made up." Isn't that what you're going to say: "Oh, this stuff about Jesus feeding the multitude was made up." The point here is: Denying reality is not an explanation. So, please, give me an explanation as to how Jesus fed the 5,000. I think this will force you to face up to the a priori commitment that you have, like many, made to ONLY natural explanations of phenomena (events).PaV
June 24, 2011
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KF, let's grant that an a priori adherence to materialism is a bad thing. Then, science still proceeds on the grounds of methodological naturalism because no-one has an alternative. No-one here has even given an inkling as to what an alternative to methodological naturalism would be like. Pav suggests that given an event which a priori could be of natural or supernatural origin (we don't know yet) we simply choose (arbitrarily) to believe in the supernatural if we don't have a scientific explanation. Now, since the origin of the event could be either natural or supernatural, the belief that the event is supernatural is unwarranted, since it could just as well be completely false as true. We can continue to investigate the event scientifically in the hope that the origin is natural yet we cannot conclude that the origin of the event is supernatural, for then we are making an unwarranted leap not evidenced by the facts. Given any event for which we do not yet have a scientific explanation, the possibility remains that a scientific explanation could be forthcoming tomorrow. Thus, the grounds that we have not found a natural origin are never sufficient to justify the belief that the origin is supernatural. Now, let's GRANT that we shall not adhere to a priori materialism. The question remains - How to use science to close the epistemological gap?Driver
June 24, 2011
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MF: I think you need to address the original post on its merits, speaking here as thread original post author. Notice in particular Dr Liddle's a priorism, and observe the comment just above in response to Driver relative to that. More broadly, science can readily examine empirically plausible signs of chance, necessity and intelligence, and can infer on a best explanation basis to warrant. Going further, given that science routinely addresses remote and unobservable events of the past, on inference to best explanation relative to signs and causal patterns, you need to address the implications of FSCO/I as such a sign, in the case of origins of a fine-tuned cosmos; one with a credible origin at a finite distance in the past, as one fitted for C-Chemistry, cell based life. (As has been on the record in ID technical literature since 1985, origin of cell based life and major body plans may well implicate design but the required sufficient cause needs not be more than a molecular nanotech lab a few generations past that of Venter, who has provided proof of concept in recent years. Origin of the observed cosmos is a very different story, and the multiverse alternative does NOT evade the issue, once notice is taken of what is required for a locally fine tuned cosmos, as John Leslie pointed out some years ago.) In short, in the case of cosmology, is science actually studying something that is literally super-natural, as it is what gave rise to the natural order we observe? GEM of TKIkairosfocus
June 23, 2011
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Pav #106 There are lots of things in your comment and the relationship between them is not obvious to me. I will pick out two: "But science can explore miracles. Look at the Shroud. Look at the Blood of St. Januarius. They’ve performed scientific tests." Science can explore proposed miracles. If they are indeed miracles then it will fail to find an answer. The scientific method being what it is - it will treat this as a problem to be solved and quite possibly keep on trying and failing. I think you agree with this (don't you?). And I think it is also Lizzie's point. Do miracles actually happen? You are certain they do happen. I look, for example, at the extraordinary things that someone such as Darren Brown can pull off which I cannot explain and I am not convinced. But almost by definition this dispute cannot be resolved. I can prove you wrong in a specific instance by finding a scientific explanation. You can never prove me wrong (although you might be right) because a scientific explanation may turn up one day. From another British 59 year old (until Monday) Markmarkf
June 23, 2011
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Driver: Let's try this on for size, in light of further evidence that this is in fact an institutionally dominant approach, courtesy the US NAS and NSTA: ______________ >> . . . to put a correct view of the universe into people's heads we must first get an incorrect view out . . . the problem is to get them to reject irrational and supernatural explanations of the world, the demons that exist only in their imaginations, and to accept a social and intellectual apparatus, Science, as the only begetter of truth [[NB: this is a knowledge claim about knowledge and its possible sources, i.e. it is a claim in philosophy not science; it is thus self-refuting]. . . . To Sagan, as to all but a few other scientists, it is self-evident [[actually, science and its knowledge claims are plainly not immediately and necessarily true on pain of absurdity, to one who understands them; this is another logical error, begging the question , confused for real self-evidence; whereby a claim shows itself not just true but true on pain of patent absurdity if one tries to deny it . . ] that the practices of science provide the surest method of putting us in contact with physical reality, and that, in contrast, the demon-haunted world rests on a set of beliefs and behaviors that fail every reasonable test [[i.e. an assertion that tellingly reveals a hostile mindset, not a warranted claim] . . . . It is not that the methods and institutions of science somehow compel us to accept a material explanation of the phenomenal world, but, on the contrary, that we are forced by our a priori adherence to material causes [[another major begging of the question . . . ] to create an apparatus of investigation and a set of concepts that produce material explanations, no matter how counter-intuitive, no matter how mystifying to the uninitiated. Moreover, that materialism is absolute [[i.e. here we see the fallacious, indoctrinated, ideological, closed mind . . . ], for we cannot allow a Divine Foot in the door. The eminent Kant scholar Lewis Beck used to say that anyone who could believe in God could believe in anything. To appeal to an omnipotent deity is to allow that at any moment the regularities of nature may be ruptured, that miracles may happen. [[Perhaps the second saddest thing is that some actually believe that these last three sentences that express hostility to God and then back it up with a loaded strawman caricature of theism and theists JUSTIFY what has gone on before. As a first correction, accurate history -- as opposed to the commonly promoted rationalist myth of the longstanding war of religion against science -- documents (cf. here, here and here) that the Judaeo-Christian worldview nurtured and gave crucial impetus to the rise of modern science through its view that God as creator made and sustains an orderly world. Similarly, for miracles -- e.g. the resurrection of Jesus -- to stand out as signs pointing beyond the ordinary course of the world, there must first be such an ordinary course, one plainly amenable to scientific study. The saddest thing is that many are now so blinded and hostile that, having been corrected, they will STILL think that this justifies the above. But, nothing can excuse the imposition of a priori materialist censorship on science, which distorts its ability to seek the empirically warranted truth about our world.] [[From: “Billions and Billions of Demons,” NYRB, January 9, 1997. Bold emphasis added.
___________ (NB: The key part of this quote comes after some fairly unfortunate remarks where Mr Lewontin gives the "typical" example -- yes, we can spot a subtext -- of an ill-informed woman who dismissed the Moon landings on the grounds that she could not pick up Dallas on her TV, much less the Moon. This is little more than a subtle appeal to the ill-tempered sneer at those who dissent from the evolutionary materialist "consensus," that they are ignorant, stupid, insane or wicked. For telling counter-instance, Wernher von Braun, the designer of the rocket that took NASA to the Moon, was an evangelical Christian and a Creationist. Similarly, when Lewontin cites "eminent Kant scholar Lewis Beck" as declaring that "anyone who could believe in God could believe in anything," drawing as bottom-line, the inference that "[[t]o appeal to an omnipotent deity is to allow that at any moment the regularities of nature may be ruptured, that miracles may happen," this is a sadly sophomoric distortion. One that fails to understand that, on the Judaeo-Christian theistic view, for miracles to stand out as signs pointing beyond the ordinary, there must first be an ordinary consistently orderly world, one created by the God of order who "sustains all things by his powerful word." Also, for us to be morally accountable to God -- a major theme in theism, the consequences of our actions must be reasonably predictable, i.e. we must live in a consistent, predictably orderly cosmos, one that would be amenable to science. And, historically, it was specifically that theistic confidence in an orderly cosmos governed by a wise and orderly Creator that gave modern science much of its starting impetus from about 1200 to 1700. For instance that is why Newton (a biblical theist), in the General Scholium to his famous work Principia, confidently said "[[t]his most beautiful system of the sun, planets, and comets, could only proceed from the counsel and dominion of an intelligent and powerful Being . . . It is allowed by all that the Supreme God exists necessarily; and by the same necessity he exists always, and every where. [[i.e. he accepts the cosmological argument to God] . . . We know him only by his most wise and excellent contrivances of things, and final cause [[i.e from his designs] . . . Blind metaphysical necessity, which is certainly the same always and every where, could produce no variety of things. [[i.e. necessity does not produce contingency]. All that diversity of natural things which we find suited to different times and places could arise from nothing but the ideas and will of a Being necessarily existing. [[That is, he implicitly rejects chance, Plato's third alternative and explicitly infers to the Designer of the Cosmos.]" In such a context of order stamped in at creation and sustained through God's power, for good reason, God may then act into the world in ways that go beyond the ordinary, i.e. miracles are possible but will inevitably be rare and in a context that points to such a higher purpose. For instance, the chief miracle claim of Christian thought, the resurrection of Jesus with 500+ witnesses is presented in the NT as decisive evidence for the truth of the gospel and authentication of God's plan of redemption. So, since these contextual remarks have been repeatedly cited by objectors as though they prove the above cite is an out of context distortion that improperly makes Lewontin seem irrational in his claims, they have to be mentioned, and addressed, as some seem to believe that such a disreputable "context" justifies the assertions and attitudes above!)] >>
_______________ Do you see why we object to such imposition of a priori materialism, force fitted onto the facts? GEM of TKI PSW: it may be profitable for you to read the original post and notice the a priori naturalism that is being addressed therein.kairosfocus
June 23, 2011
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The funny thing is, Lizzie says she agrees with you while actually stating the exact opposite
Not at all. Scientific models aren't assumptions that we simply choose to believe. A scientific model is grounded in facts. Models make unique and testable predictions, also. In science, you never assume your hypothesis to be true. I don't know how you would begin to argue that it is laudable to assume the truth of something whose truth value is unknown.Driver
June 23, 2011
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What part of my comment do you disagree with, Mung?
All of it. Start with your first statement: Because “I don’t know” is better than assuming an explanation that could be the wrong explanation. You've given us absolutely no reason to believe that this is in fact the case. It's an assertion that isn't even supported by an argument. The funny thing is, Lizzie says she agrees with you while actually stating the exact opposite:
All scientific conclusions are provisional; all models are, in some degree, wrong (or, at best, leave things out, i.e. falsify in the sense of over-simplify).
So clearly, sometimes, wrong is better and more fruitful than "I don't know." Wrong at least has a chance of being wrong. And isn't that a crucial part of science?Mung
June 23, 2011
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... it [Science] simply does not have the methodology to conclude that an effect was divine, only to reject alternative conclusions.
Science has a methodology that allows it to reject alternative conclusions to what? And an example might be helpful.Mung
June 23, 2011
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What part of my comment do you disagree with, Mung?Driver
June 23, 2011
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I would echo Driver here.
Why? There's nothing of merit in his argument.Mung
June 23, 2011
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Sorry, PaV, typed "Patrick" by mistake. Freudian slip!Elizabeth Liddle
June 23, 2011
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@Patrick:
I've just reread your entire post, and I don't see any need to really address it.
No problem.
You're being a little bit supercilious,
Not at all, but I do understand that it's hard to hear tone over the intertubes! Maybe imagine a British accent? Or does that make it worse? Maybe just imagine what I am, an aging 59 year old, heavier than I should be, still trying to work stuff out :)
and, it seems that your position, finally, is that God is personal God, and there's nothing in the world that can demonstrate His presence---scientifically---and that this presence is of little utility.
Yes, I do think that first thing. I don't think we can demonstrate God scientifically. But I don't think that second thing at all! I may be essentially an atheist (by most theistic standards) but the presence of God (as I understand the term) is something I find of enormous "utility".
I suspect some great trauma has occurred in your life, and that you feel that God wasn't there for you. If that's so, then my condolences. I shall certainly pray.
Well, I appreciate it PaV, truly, but no, no great trauma. Or rather, the only great trauma (apart from losing loved relatives, but that is just life) was 20 years of infertility, but that was crowned with a lovely boy with my last egg! I've never felt so blessed. I sang the Magnificat throughout my pregnancy :)
But, since we're dealing here with Darwinism versus ID, let me just stipulate that ID is not a "proof" of God's existence, any more than the liquefaction of Januarius' blood is proof. Faith is confident assurance in that which is unseen. God is 'seen' only with the 'eyes of faith'.
Right. There I agree with you. Except that the God I have now, requires neither proof nor faith :) Just reason and love.
Nevertheless, ID has, per Stephen Meyers, more "explanatory power" than Darwinism, and from a strictly "scientific" perspective, should be taken as more definitive an explanation for biological complexity than mere Darwinism.
ID may well prove to have more "explanatory power" than Darwinism (though I still think it has a deep logical flaw). But evidence of design is not evidence of the "supernatural". I do think it is important not to conflate these two inferences. That's why I liked kairosfocus's substitution of "artificial" as the antonym for "natural". Science is perfectly capable of investigating artifice. Cheers LizzieElizabeth Liddle
June 23, 2011
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I would echo Driver here. However, I would be speaking qua scientist. I think that is an important point. As a scientist, I cannot conclude anything from "retaining the null" other than that "I don't know". And normally this is followed by: "so what alternative hypothesis can we devise and test?" Because that is how science work. As I human being, I'm perfectly free of course to say: "Well, this is extraordinary! I wonder if I am confronting the Divine here?" But that "wondering" cannot be addressed by science. And that's really all my point - that science doesn't "censor" divine hypotheses, it simply does not have the methodology to conclude that an effect was divine, only to reject alternative conclusions. So yes, if you like, PaV, science is intrinsically "agnostic" - about everything. All scientific conclusions are provisional; all models are, in some degree, wrong (or, at best, leave things out, i.e. falsify in the sense of over-simplify). It's a hugely powerful methodology, but the price we pay is certainty; we also pay the price of never being able to conclude that we have reached the end of the causal chain, only that we can't see the next one. But thanks for your long personal post, PaV, I will respond shortly.Elizabeth Liddle
June 23, 2011
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why is that a superior choice than that of simply choosing to believe that a supernatural cause is at work?
Because "I don't know" is better than assuming an explanation that could be the wrong explanation. Simply choosing to believe is to make an arbitrary choice without foundation. We could simply choose to believe any explanation (natural or supernatural) we liked, unwarranted by facts.Driver
June 23, 2011
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Elizabeth Liddle:
. . . then I can only say I continue to Not Know.
I see you capitalized "Not Know". For you have stated the agnostic position. So, in the face of reality, you choose to impute an "unknown" cause to a phenomena that science cannot explain, rather than to assume that it is a "supernatural" cause that brought it about. This is simply a choice. And it is a choice that leaves you without an explanation. So, then, why is that a superior choice than that of simply choosing to believe that a supernatural cause is at work? I can't see any way in which it is a superior position. Further, it is a choice that basically says: "I choose to never leave the world of nature. As far as anything beyond what's given in nature, I deny its existence." This isn't a very adventuresome position. Quite conservative, wouldn't you say? :) You mentioned Wikipedia. They say this:
The reality of the phenomenon is attested by innumerable witnesses, and is widely accepted even by researchers who are skeptical about the relic's origin and associated supernatural claims. A willful fraud is also considered unlikely, given the long history of the phenomenon and the intense scrutiny to which it has been submitted. . . . The thixotrophic gel obtained by Garlaschelli is able to maintain his thixotrophic properties for 2 years only, so it's still unexplained how Saint Januarius blood could change from solid to liquid state after 700 years, which is historically documented.
Now, based on your response, you seem to think that it is the prayers of the faithful that bring this miracle about. If that were the case, then I suppose I could bring the dried blood of my next-door neighbor to Naples, and that, too, would liquefy. Miracles are meant to honor the saints, and to indicate to us, who believe, the heroic sanctity of their lives. So, this is God's doing, and it is done so that our faith might be strengthened in a God who is present to us in our world (and not off on vacation somewhere) and who gave Januarius the grace of martyrdom. So your scenario about scientific testing, etc., which you didn't intend in any serious way anyways, would be a wrong way of approaching it. [[I've just reread your entire post, and I don't see any need to really address it. You're being a little bit supercilious, and, it seems that your position, finally, is that God is personal God, and there's nothing in the world that can demonstrate His presence---scientifically---and that this presence is of little utility. I suspect some great trauma has occurred in your life, and that you feel that God wasn't there for you. If that's so, then my condolences. I shall certainly pray. But, since we're dealing here with Darwinism versus ID, let me just stipulate that ID is not a "proof" of God's existence, any more than the liquefaction of Januarius' blood is proof. Faith is confident assurance in that which is unseen. God is 'seen' only with the 'eyes of faith'. Nevertheless, ID has, per Stephen Meyers, more "explanatory power" than Darwinism, and from a strictly "scientific" perspective, should be taken as more definitive an explanation for biological complexity than mere Darwinism.]] I'm gone all day.PaV
June 23, 2011
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markf:
But as a scientific explanation is a subset of other explanations this still amounts to saying that science cannot explore miracles.
But science can explore miracles. Look at the Shroud. Look at the Blood of St. Januarius. They've performed scientific tests. I guess what you mean to say is that "science can't 'prove' miracles". No, as Elizabeth says, it is, if you will, the 'null hypothesis'. But this simply shows the limitations of science, and nothing more. What we wrestle with in our modern world is the notion that 'truth' is "successful experimentation", to follow John Stewart Mills. Well, is that true? IOW, how do you prove Mills' contention? What experiment do you perform exactly to verify his contention? But, this is silliness. We all know that 'truth' is more than "successful experimentation". It's true that John Wilkes Booth shot Abraham Lincoln. Why do we need science to tell us anything about it? As you stated: " . . . a scientific explanation is a subset of other explanations . . . " It's a subset. A delimitation of all possible explanations. To limit ourselves to ONLY scientific explanations, is a severe, and inhuman, constraining of the mind and of reality. Now, to take a different angle on this: I said: Fourth, we don’t say: “Oh, I can’t explain it scientifically, so it must be supernatural,”, but the other way around: “It’s a miracle—unless some kind of explanation other than the supernatural can be given.” To which you reply:
This is the key point. And I cannot see any relevant difference between these two statements.
Let's take another example. You're in your living room. Your watching the Winter Olympics. On the edge of the coffee table is a book you've been reading. All of a sudden the book moves and falls to the floor. Is your reaction: "It was a miracle!" I wouldn't think so. Rather, you would say, "What happened there? I've never seen anything like that before. How could the book just move like that all by itself." And then you would begin looking for some kind of motive force. But when dried blood, in very simple fashion, becomes liquid, then something more than a simple motive force is at work, and you would be more likely to think that it was some kind of miracle. Miracles happen all the time. St. Pio, who bore the wounds of Christ in his lifetime, cured a man who was blind. What makes it remarkable, was that he basically didn't have any eyes; and yet, somehow, he was able to see. Lourdes is the home of miracles. Etc., etc. This discussion has been occasioned by Elizabeth's contention that we don't see the "Prime Mover" in the "Moved". These are all examples of just how we do. One can be a skeptic, of course. That's easy. All you have to say is: "I don't believe it." That's not hard to do. But, with the blood of St. Januarius and other miracles, we have the phenomena, and science can't explain it---which, of course, is the only explanation for a 'miracle' in the first place.PaV
June 23, 2011
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whoopsies hit submit by accident: OK, to continue... I just checked wiki and apparently there are two vials which is convenient. So we take the two vials, and place them in two churches, and monitor their state of liquefaction by some objective means (not difficult to do). And we do a controlled, counterbalanced experiment. We gather the faithful in one church and get them to pray for liquefaction, and we gather a group of atheists in the other as a control group. Then we swap the vials and repeat. And if we find that the vials liquefy when prayed for, but not when they do we have good scientific evidence that prayer is a causal factor in the liquefaction. That would be very cool. But would we have "proved the supernatural"? I find that phrase somewhat meaningless. As a scientist, I would conclude that a human behaviour (prayer) has an effect at-a-distance on the substance in the vial. The effect is predictable, statistically, and therefore demonstrates that there is a "regularity" in the world that has hitherto been unknown to science (if known to the faithful!) So what do I do next? Well, I try to find out what this effect is. I find out what else it can do. Can it improve people's chances of recovery from heart surgery? (apparently not). Can it cause amputated limbs to regrow? (Apparently not). Can it cause people with certain forms of paralysis to regain mobility? (possibly). Does it work in a blinded trial? What would happen if we put the vials in separate boxes, labeled A and B, and ensured that no-one connected with the operation of the experiment knew which was which. And we asked the faithful to pray only for the vial in box A, but not for the vial in box B. What would happen? And what would happen if we asked the faithful to pray that the liquid vial became solid again? In other words, how specific is the effect? Does it generalise to effects other than liquefaction? Does it generalise to objects other than the blood of St Januarius? And let's say, at the end of it, we declare a Law (not as good as a theory, but a start), perhaps the Assymetrical Law of Liquefication by prayer: "Prayer can liquefy solid blood but cannot solidify liquid blood". But that would tell us no more about "the supernatural" than is the law of gravity. It is simply a description of an observable regularity in the universe. And we could go further - if we could demonstrate that liquid blood occupies a higher energy state than solid blood, then we could, using the 2nd law of thermodynamics, conclude that prayer involves the transfer of energy. Energy! Can we harness that? Can we get it to drive turbines? Can we solve global warming with it? Or even - have we found an exception to the 2LoT? Do we need to revise the whole of Newtonian physics? And if so, do we conclude that there is an "outside energy source" that is external to the entire universe that sustains it in being and occasionally manifests itself in apparent violations of the 2LoT? That would be pretty cool, and perhaps would come close to positing something God-like as a detectable force in our world. But would it be God-as-we-know-God? Well, not God-as-I-know-God! It's some force that does weird things to the clotting of blood from long-dead human beings but has no statistically detectable effect on the clotting of blood from living human beings who could often benefit from it. Merely an impersonal, maverick force, not much more interesting than a poltergeist. A hitherto unknown denizen of a larger universe than we had hitherto envisioned. A Cthulhu from a superworld. Certainly not a God of Love. Or at least, not one deducible from the evidence to hand. That's why my problem with scientific-evidence-for-god is twofold: We can't do meaningful science with "the supernatural" (as usually defined) as the study hypothesis because methodologically it can only be cast as the null, UNLESS we cease to regard it as "supernatural" and simply a hitherto-unknown-force-within-the-world. And if we do that, we must not make the mistake of assuming that this force is what we normally call God, because that leads us to very bad theology. To put it simply: if I had good scientific evidence that a god-like force was the force that liquefied the blood of St Januarius in response to prayer, and yet seemed non-harnessable to any more useful target, like healing the sick, or running emission-free turbines, I might accept it as a force, but I wouldn't go to church and worship it. Frankly, I'd regard it as a bit of a nuisance, like mosquitoes, or, perhaps better, confounds in my otherwise well-behaved data. And I'd still have my real God :)Elizabeth Liddle
June 23, 2011
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Again, markf put it very nicely :) What I was going to try to say (before he expressed it better) was something like: My "honest take on the St Januarius blood" is that I don't know what causes the liquefaction. As a scientist, that is all I can do, without further investigation, and if, given further investigation I am still "baffled" as they say in detective stories, then I can only say I continue to Not Know. I guess I could regard "miracle" as my null, but we never prove the null, we merely "retain" it, so as a scientist I cannot conclude that a "miracle" as the explanation. However, let me put a fictional scenario to you: Let us imagine that scientists were able to do a real, controlled experiment with the blood. How I would design this experiment might be: The state (solid/liquid) of the vial is measured by some objective meansElizabeth Liddle
June 23, 2011
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Pav Fourth, we don’t say: “Oh, I can’t explain it scientifically, so it must be supernatural,”, but the other way around: “It’s a miracle—unless some kind of explanation other than the supernatural can be given.” This is the key point. And I cannot see any relevant difference between these two statements. One amounts to: "I can't find a scientific explanation so it must be a miracle" the other amounts to: "It is miracle unless I can find another explanation" The only small logical difference between the two is the difference between "scientific explanation" and "another explanation". But as a scientific explanation is a subset of other explanations this still amounts to saying that science cannot explore miracles. And so miracles are an example that supports Elizabeth's point.markf
June 23, 2011
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Liz @ #100 wrote:
"Well, I would say that a “complex, highly contingent outcome” indicates a a causal process that is a system of deeply nested contingencies. Wouldn’t you?"
To an extent you are correct, but the problem with purely naturalistic mechanical explanations is that they are inescapably reductionist. In other words if you follow those contingencies back far enough along their logical lines in time, you get to a point where there is only an unknown point, but that "unknown" must be able to account for and purchase the entire chain of contingencies that follow. Since we know of no such source in the natural world that can account for the origin of contingencies themselves, we are thus warranted in proposing the "supernatural" explanation as a real scientific consideration, remembering that the term "supernatural" does not mean or equate to "unnatural" but merely "that of nature which which holds a level of prowess that it is barely conceivable."Frost122585
June 22, 2011
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Elizabeth Liddle:
You may be right about Paul. But I’m not arguing from scripture anyway. The reason I think its “bad theology” isn’t because it isn’t scriptural, but because it seems to me illogical at best (how could a creator God be missing from large parts of his/her creation?), . . .
But it what sense is God missing from large parts of the universe? Are you suggesting that God is only present on earth, or in humans,animals, etc.? Through this media called the internet, I'm "present" to you, but in a completely different way than I'm present to my computer screen. We can't simply assume that God can be "present" in only one fashion or manner, can we? I don't see where this is necessary.
. . . and, at worst, no more than the inference of some natural, powerful, and not necessary benign fellow inhabitant of our universe. Cthulhu?
My analogy above applies here, as well: I'm not a part of your 'world' whatever---that is, the physical world in which you move and interact; and, yet, I can be present to you in thought via the internet.
But if God’s presence is everywhere, and underlies everything – if he is the Prime Mover, the “ground of our being” etc etc, then there can be no differential effect – we can’t compare bits of the universe that differ in some property and infer that the difference must be due to different degrees of godliness.
Well, I brought up the instance of the Blood of St. Januarius. Can the liquefaction of blood indicate a "differential effect"? I certainly think so. But, again, God can be 'present' everywhere, and yet 'act' here or there. Different kinds of "presences". If the Prime Mover is just a Mover, then simply imagine a line of dominoes stretching from here to the Sun. Is the "Prime Mover" no more than the first domino that gets the line falling down, and thus moving its falling force forward? By that definition, yes, there is no "differential effect": the fall of the first domino is the same as that of the last; and, further, there is NO DIFFERENCE between the first domino and the last. Yet, it is obvious that something should differentiate the Prime Mover from the Moved. So, one cannot 'identify' God with the Prime Mover; this is no more than a partial glimpse of who God is. IOW, you're invoking 'bad theology'. :) The problem here is that the only kind of "creation" we're familiar with, is the kind we're capable of. And the fact is that we don't "create" anything in a physical way. We transform physical phenomena to conform to our ideas. So, in the end, the only thing we really create are "ideas"!! That's right, non-physical, non-measurable realities. This is all I'll say for right now. I don't want to get too ahead of the discussion. But, please, Elizabeth, what is your honest take on the St. Januarius' blood?PaV
June 22, 2011
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Well, I would say that a "complex, highly contingent outcome" indicates a a causal process that is a system of deeply nested contingencies. Wouldn't you?Elizabeth Liddle
June 22, 2011
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Dr Liddle: It is sufficient for the relevant purposes that under similar circumstances, we have significantly varying outcomes. Once the pattern of such outcomes is statistically distributed in the way a relevant random variable model would predict, we have good reason to infer to chance. Once that is happening, I have little reason to be concerned for the initial purposes with the way we get to that distribution, though of course that is a later target of analysis. If we go on to detect a signal of a law of necessity lurking in the noise -- there are ways and means to do that -- that can be inferred as an aspect controlled by necessity that was previously not suspected. If on the other hand a complex, highly contingent outcome -- large info storage potential -- is coming up in a special zone, which is functional and specific [rare in the field of possibilities -- a small fraction of the state space] we have good reason to infer to intelligence, e.g. the config of ASCII characters in this post. GEM of TKIkairosfocus
June 22, 2011
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Third, if it is miraculous, then, quite obviously, “supernatural” forces are at work in our world—and they have been for a long time (this miracle is known to have happened for centuries now.)
But if it's been happening for centuries, it's a regular occurrence, and therefore cannot be miraculous! ;)Mung
June 22, 2011
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